College football model · 2026

College Football Model

All 138 FBS teams, every week. The model's spread and total for every game against the market, with the weather built in, the plays it sizes, full power ratings and the graded record. Refreshed every morning through Saturday.

Season record

Every logged play, graded in units. Minus odds are to win the units, plus odds are the units risked. CLV is how far the line moved our way after the play was posted.

This week's card

Plays are sized at the opening line. Totals carry a wind adjustment when the forecast calls for it. The best New Jersey number for each play is shown where we found one.

Full board

Every FBS game this week with the opening line, the current line, the model's number and the weather.

Power ratings

Net points against an average FBS team on a neutral field. Offense and defense are on the same scale, so a negative defense number is good.

Play log

The most recent graded plays.