College basketball model · 2026-27

College Basketball Model

All 365 Division I teams, every game. The model's fair spread, total and moneyline for each game against the DraftKings line, projected scores, the plays it sizes, power ratings for every team and the graded record. Refreshed every morning.

Season record

Every logged play, graded in units. Spread and total plays at the posted juice; minus-odds moneylines are to win the units, plus odds are the units risked. CLV is how far the line moved our way after the play was posted.

Today's card

Fair is what the model thinks the line should be. A spread play needs a clear edge at the posted line; totals and moneylines are tracked as leans. Plays are listed first; use the filter to find a team.

Power ratings

Net is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I team on a neutral floor. Off and Def are the team's offensive and defensive ratings on the same scale; Tempo is possessions per game.

Play log

The most recent graded plays.